so if the u.s. puts in austerity as you say, then that is going to drag on the economies around the rest of the world. and you're looking at, i think, more concerns, and that could go back to the dollar, surprisingly. >> kevin, why don't we talk about oil prices? we did see oil touch above $90 last week at the end of the week. but it was a very brief move, this morning back down around $88. what's driving things right now? is it geopolitical or more of a story about what's happening in economies around the world? >> merry fiscal cliff-mas to you. you're going to see more bouncing like a yo yo, on the fundamental story, the models we have pointing going into 1q, the reason, it sort of rhymes in the spirit of the season. you have non-opec demand growing, global demand slowing, it's not snowing, and down is where we're going. the next big data point is probably the iaea report in february. and if that implicates more progress toward an iranian bomb, there's significant risk to look to the upside. in th